If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
GeopolitiekAIWeerManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling1687 K (melting point of silicon) 26.6%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd22 apr 24, 14:34 UTC1 jan 00, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it begin mining the moon within a year?
Manifold MarketsWill a post AGI future (If AGI is created and doesn’t wipe out humanity) be really nice and compassionate to criminals ?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is achieved and doesn't wipe out humanity, will natural death be cured within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
Manifold MarketsWhat are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Each option resolves YES if, within a year of artificial superintelligence (ASI) being created (and not killing us all), it is able to create computer hardware that can run the ASI itself and theoretically be able to survive these temperatures being continuously applied to the entire external surface for an arbitrary duration.
- Survival in this case means the resulting computer can resume running afterwards without outside intervention, at a level that still qualifies as an ASI, even if performance is degraded relative to before.
- The hardware can include any armour/insulation layers needed, not just the computronium itself.
- Other potentially relevant temperatures for context:
- 0 C = 273 K (melting point of water ice)
- 100 C = 373 K (boiling point of water)
