Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 98.4%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd27 jul 23, 18:03 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill the Crimean bridge be damaged in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIran Conflict Props
Manifold MarketsWhat nationalities will be on the moon before 2030
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if a Nuclear Thermal Rocket (a rocket propelled using heat from a nuclear reaction) reaches space (defined as the Karman line, 100km altitude) before 2027.
- Otherwise NO.
- NASA, DARPA to launch nuclear rocket to orbit by early 2026
- https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/tdm/nuclear-thermal-propulsion/index.html
- [link preview]It is necessary for the rocket to have a propulsion system based on nuclear power.
- It is not necessary that the nuclear propulsion system works.
