Huidige impliciete kans
Meta 28.9%-16.0ptKoploper van 21 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
69 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 14,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadComments
0
7d wijziging
-1.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
13 aug 26, 21:1531 okt 26, 23:59
Trends
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Regels
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Open markten
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $68,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $68,000 or above+3.0pt98%
- $70,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 372,1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+81.0pt95.2%
- 89° or above1%
- 83° to 84°-51.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 342,1K
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99-0.5pt10.8%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.4pt10.8%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-0.3pt8.8%
+25 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 25, 2026?
- New Orleans+18.0pt99%
- Denver+13.0pt62%
- Oklahoma City+1.0pt13%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+21.5pt63.4%
- 40-64-3.0pt26.7%
- 90-114-12.1pt8.9%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Aug 25, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+42.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-31.0pt1%
- 94° to 95°-11.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 25, 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of August?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Aug 25, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Aug 25, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
- Polymarket prijst Meta op 29% per 26 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) afgewikkeld?
- #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.