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Verouderd30 sep 23, 01:41 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves YES if an AI exfiltrates its own weights, as this counts as a cyberattack.
Open markten
AI
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+3 extra uitkomsten
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- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
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- € 9,1 mln.
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.