Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingUS or Israel attacks Pickaxe Mountain before Dec 15, 2026 40.8%+2.4ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+2.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd21 okt 26, 17:13 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each option resolves independently to YES, NO, or N/A based on credible reporting from major news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg), official military/government statements, or verified satellite imagery analysis from established nonpartisan monitoring organizations (e.g., CSIS, ISIS).
- Any user may add new answers.
- For each listed option, the criteria are defined as follows:
- the named outcome:
