Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 83.6%
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7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd3 nov 23, 16:20 UTC31 dec 35, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
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Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if mil-industry/political media reports the entracne of a sixth-generation fighter into full service.
- Projects to watch:
- GCAP (by 2035)
- FCAS (by 2040)
- F/A-XX (2030s)
- NGAD (2030s)
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 84% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if mil-industry/political media reports the entracne of a sixth-generation fighter into full service.