Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Health & MedicineOne-OffGeopolitiekWetenschap4dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingSouth Sudan 67.3%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
19 mei 26, 9:4630 jul 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
South Sudan67%
Volumetrend
$1017 jul2d aan data18 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
€ 44Ja: 10.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSDid COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
€ 221,7Ja: 25%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
€ 87,9Ja: 20.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
€ 2,8Ja: 6%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
€ 56,1before 2027: 78%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will there be a year without polio before 2030?
€ 0Ja: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.NewsRegels
Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda.
- States resolve YES when their health authorities or WHO reports a local case and resolve NO when the outbreak is declared over by WHO / Africa CDC.
- People who are transferred with a suspected or confirmed infection for treatment to another state under medical supervision are excluded (e.g. western states repatriating their infected citizens does not resolve, a person travelling who is already infected but without being already suspected and is diagnosed in their destination does resolve)
- Cases confirmed to be from a different outbreak do not count.
- Some background: https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-play-catch-startling-ebola-outbreak