Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
One-OffGezondheid en geneeskundeWetenschapGeopolitiek
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 76.7%
Nee 76.7%Voorspellers
34
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd24 jan 24, 12:31 UTC2 jan 50, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Consensus of reliable sources will be used to check if an outbreak qualifies as a pandemic.
- Resolves YES or NO based on the resolution of a market that is similar in principle to Isaac's lab leak market.
- Once a pandemic is declared, I will decide which market this question should be a mirror of.