Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNavier-Stokes 98.1%+47.2ptKoploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
63
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+51.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
18 apr 24, 20:08 UTC1 jan 41, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegels
Other = a prize yet to be added to the Millenium prize list
- https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next??
- Manifold Markets prijst Navier-Stokes op 98% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next? afgewikkeld?
- Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2041 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which of the Millenium Prize problems will be solved next? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Other = a prize yet to be added to the Millenium prize list