Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingHodge Conjecture 38.9%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
58
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+2.9 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd9 sep 26, 11:25 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiRegels
Resolves to the next problem considered to be solved by the consensus of the mathematical community.
- The actual prize isn’t strictly necessary for resolution, but it should be the formulation of the problem eligible for the prize.
- If OpenAI’s claimed proof of Navier-Stokes is found to be flawed, that is ignored for the purposes of this market (i.e., it resolves to the next of these 5 listed problems to be considered solved, even if NS is “solved” in the future).