Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingApr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work 54.8%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd22 mei 26, 23:08 UTC1 jan 29, 00:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
The Guardian: AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year, says Anthropic co-founder
- Sam Bowman on X (Imgur backup)
- TL;DR Jack Clark of AI lab Anthropic gave a lecture at Oxford where, among other things, he showed a slide shown in [2] which featured some of his own predictions, which was a subject of The Guardian's article in [1].
- The ones above the line are used as basis for questions in this market.
- The questions are lightly paraphrased to save space; refer to the original slide for full phrasing and see the resolution criteria below for more info.
- Notes on resolution criteria:
Open markten
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+7 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true??
- Manifold Markets prijst Apr '28: Bipedal robots meaningfully assist human tradespeople in their work op 55% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true? afgewikkeld?
- Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which of Jack Clark's Oxford lecture AI predictions will come true? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The Guardian: AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year, says Anthropic co-founder