When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild??

Manifold Markets prijst 2027-2029 op 34.8% per 30 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild? afgewikkeld?

When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2040 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt When will there be credible evidence of an organism with a Gene Drive being released in the wild? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves to the bucket containing the year in which there is credible evidence of an organism with a gene drive being released into a wild population, with the intent to have it spread across the majority of that organisms natural range.

Gebruik deze markt in code of in een AI-agent

Gratis JSON voor deze markt, geen API-sleutel nodig:

AI-agents: roep pm_data_event aan op de MCP-server van CoinRithm:

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt23.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt15.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.4pt5%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 33,8 mln.

24u volume

€ 148,7K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.5pt3%
• October 310%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 67,9 mln.

24u volume

€ 114,6K

KALSHI

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

• Before 203583%
• Before 203057.9%
• Before 2029-3.4pt19.1%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes+0.6pt74.3%
• No25.8%

Totaal volume

€ 402,6K

24u volume

€ 3K

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30-24.5pt19%
• December 31-1.0pt5%

Totaal volume

€ 32,7K

24u volume

€ 2,1K

POLYMARKET

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

• 4,189.3 or 4,189.4+2.0pt87.9%
• 4,189.5 or 4,189.6+3.5pt8.1%
• Below 4,189.3-5.2pt4%

+1 extra uitkomsten

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