Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling>5.0% to 5.3% 43%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd27 nov 25, 09:21 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?
- Current Context:
- July-September 2025: 5.0% unemployment rate
- IFS baseline forecast: unemployment peaks at 5.1% in 2026
- Recent trend: unemployment has been rising since mid-2022
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted, ages 16+) published by the ONS for October-December 2026 in the Employment in the UK bulletin released in early 2027.
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 90,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,4 mln.
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 358,6K
- 24u volume
- € 35,8K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 548,3K
- 24u volume
- € 28,8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 79,8K
- 24u volume
- € 7,6K
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS?
- Manifold Markets prijst >5.0% to 5.3% op 43% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS afgewikkeld?
- UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?