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  3. Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets
Manifold Markets

Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets

RegelgevingOne-OffAITech6mnd
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Manifold Markets
At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 2026 99%
Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

9

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt eergisteren

Verouderd
24 apr 26, 11:5531 dec 26, 16:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Manifold Markets
Roadster unveiled before May 24th 2026
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 202699%

Regels

Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?

Manifold Markets
  • I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
  • All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
  • Robotaxis count only if running:
  • without a human driver
  • continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)

Gerelateerde Markten

Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

€ 146,8
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of December 2026

€ 380
≥$1T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

€ 328
≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

€ 0
Ja: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

€ 343,5K
Anthropic: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

€ 45,2K
Anthropic: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,963.68+2.52%EthereumETH$1,660.88+1.86%SolanaSOL$65.35+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.60%BNBBNB$597.16+1.90%XRPXRP$1.12+0.59%

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Regels

Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?

Manifold Markets
  • I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
  • All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
  • Robotaxis count only if running:
  • without a human driver
  • continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)