Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling≥$1.25T 79.1%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd21 mei 26, 19:10 UTC1 apr 27, 03:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsSpaceX highest valuation by end of March 2027
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of December 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-03-31.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-03-31 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-3.0pt80.2%
- Yes+3.0pt19.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 13 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 419,3K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt43%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-3.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-3.0pt31%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Jan 1, 202792%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 16,5K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt65%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 202750%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 894,3K
KALSHIWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Paramount+1.0pt77.1%
- None before July 2027+2.0pt20%
- Netflix2.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,7 mln.
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by which date?
- Ohio State vs Texas
- When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027?
- Manifold Markets prijst ≥$1.25T op 79% per 11 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027 wordt naar verwachting op 1 april 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Anthropic highest valuation by end of March 2027 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-03-31.