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Ja 84%
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181
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
18 apr 25, 21:11 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Imagine that any math problem you can write down on a piece of paper that a team of Fields medalists can solve, AI can as well.
- Until recently, I would've predicted that that was an AGI-complete problem.
- Of course people used to think grandmaster-level chess would require AGI.
- Until 2022 I was sure that commonsense reasoning and being able to explain jokes would require AGI.
- If subhuman general intelligence can be a superhuman mathematical intelligence, that will be another big update for me.
- What if AGI happens first?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 84% per 23 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet? afgewikkeld?
- Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Imagine that any math problem you can write down on a piece of paper that a team of Fields medalists can solve, AI can as well.