Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 82.7%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd6 jan 26, 04:44 UTC1 jan 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?
Manifold MarketsWill there be another new member of the Straw Hat Pirates before the end of One Piece?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
In the last few years, especially 2025, several nations experienced political upheaval with similar characteristics: youth-led, street-level/grassroots, social-media coordinated, occurring in peripheral nations, and primarily driven by governmental corruption and lack of basic social services rather than specific ideological motives.
- Some protestors identified themselves as being part of a global movement, despite most protests focusing on local concerns, adopting the Straw Hat from One Piece as a symbol.
- Examples include Madagascar, Nepal, Morocco, Philippines, Indonesia, Bangladesh, and potentially Kenya and Sri Lanka.
- Resolves YES if and only if the Associated Press, Reuters, or a consensus of credible media reports on one of the following during 2026:
- Governmental overthrow or change in government/ruling coalition/party due to Straw Hat mass protests
- Coup or self-coup orchestrated in response to Straw Hat mass protests
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 581,3K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 96,8K
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Straw Hat protests continue in 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 83% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Straw Hat protests continue in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Straw Hat protests continue in 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Straw Hat protests continue in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: In the last few years, especially 2025, several nations experienced political upheaval with similar characteristics: youth-led, street-level/grassroots, social-media coordinated, occurring in peripheral nations, and primarily driven by governmental corruption and lack of basic social services rather than specific ideological motives.