Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingObserving a temporary ceasefire with US & Israel 47%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd23 mrt 26, 21:58 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
I'll resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, and use my own judgment in the event of ambiguity.
- I may resolve to % if I feel it's appropriate.
- I won't bet.
- Specific rules:
- the named outcome
- By this I mean "strictly more friendly", in the sense that a leader who is roughly "similar" resolves no.