SOAI#4: A deepfake/agent-driven cyber attack triggers the first NATO/UN emergency debate on AI security
GeopolitiekOne-OffEuropaAI
Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: No (94.7%)
Afgewikkeld: 11 okt 2026, 21:45
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Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 12 okt 2026, 12:02 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes5.3%
No94.7%
Gewonnen
Verloren
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This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #4: A deepfake/agent-driven cyber attack triggers the first NATO/UN emergency debate on AI security.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.