Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
18.3 ptn (24u)One-OffAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 2026Amerikaanse politiekVerkiezingPolitiek2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingKansas 25%+18.3ptKoploper van 15 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+18.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd30 okt 26, 01:54 UTC3 jan 27, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
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KalshiWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democratic Senator say or post “glad he’s dead” within 24 hours of trumps death for ANY reason?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegels
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator/kxreddestdsen-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
