KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansXavier Becerra 95%-0.4pt
Marktkwaliteit
84 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 843,1
Liquiditeit
€ 532,7K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
5.2% / 5.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 29 minuten geleden
10 jan 25, 15:003 nov 27, 15:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Steve Hilton5%
Platforms vergelijken· Xavier Becerra
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBeste algemeen64% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Hoog | 96% | +3pt | € 77,1K | € 17,5 mln. | 29 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Polymarket78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Hoog | 93% | 0pt | € 5,7K | € 5,6 mln. | 9 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| KalshiDeze pagina | Hoog | 95% | +2pt | € 843,1 | € 532,7K | 29 minuten geleden | |
 Gemini80% overeenkomst · auto | Laag | 96% | +3pt | € 173 | € 0 | 29 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Futuur78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 84% | -9pt | € 0 | € 7,4K | 29 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Smarkets78% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Laag | 89% | -4pt | € 2,6 | € 0 | 29 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Manifold Markets80% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 95% | +2pt | — | — | 8 uur geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold Markets67% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 94% | +1pt | — | — | 13 dagen geleden | Openen → |
 PredictIt67% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 93% | 0pt | — | — | 29 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold Markets67% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | — | 93% | +0pt | — | — | 9 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3mnd
+1.1pt95%
-1.1pt4.9%
0.1%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling29 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Gemini
California Governor winner?
3mnd
95.5%
4.5%
49 • Lage kwaliteitStrakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 73,9K
24u volume€ 173
GEMINIOok beschikbaar op Polymarket
California Governor Election Winner
0.2 pts3mnd
+0.2pt93.9%
-0.2pt6.1%
0%
+42 extra uitkomsten
89 • Hoge kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling
Totaal volume€ 35,5 mln.
24u volume€ 5,7K
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Smarkets
California Governor Election Winner
89.3%
5.4%
22 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 3,1K
24u volume€ 2,6
SMARKETSOok beschikbaar op Futuur
California governor election winner
3mnd
83.2%
6.9%
6.9%
+1 extra uitkomsten
39 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 1,8K
24u volume€ 0
FUTUUROok beschikbaar op PredictIt
Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California?
6mnd
93%
5%
1%
+12 extra uitkomsten
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
3mnd
93.3%
6.2%
0.2%
+12 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling59 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Who will be elected governor of California in 2026?
4mnd
+2.6pt93.7%
-2.6pt5.4%
0.2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling65 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Kalshi
California Governor winner? (Person)
0.1 pts1j
95%
-0.1pt5%
0%
+22 extra uitkomsten
89 • Hoge kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling
Totaal volume€ 43,3 mln.
24u volume€ 77,1K
KALSHIRegels
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$1.1k95.5%KALSHISteve Hilton — No4 dgn geleden
KALSHISteve Hilton — No4 dgn geleden$2.9k95.4%KALSHISteve Hilton — No4 dgn geleden
KALSHISteve Hilton — No4 dgn geleden$1.3k94.6%KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden$2.8k94.7%KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden$4.7k94.8%KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden$1.1k94.4%KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden$1.4k95.0%KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHISteve Hilton — No8 dgn geleden$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — No10 dgn geleden
KALSHIRepublican party — No10 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$9602 jul28d aan data29 jul
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.