Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 11 jun 2026, 17:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingDemocratic Party 97.8%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 45 dagen geleden
Verouderd10 apr 24, 17:564 nov 26, 7:59
Trends
0.2%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Democratic Party98%
Platforms vergelijken· Democratic Party
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen80% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Hoog | 95% | — | € 96,5 | € 530,7K | 7 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 98% | — | — | — | 45 dagen geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
California Governor winner?
0.4 pts1j
-0.4pt94.1%
5.9%
78 • Hoge kwaliteitStrakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling
Totaal volume€ 1 mln.
24u volume€ 96,5
KALSHIRegels
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHIRepublican party — No8 dgn geleden$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes9 dgn geleden
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes9 dgn geleden$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes9 dgn geleden
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes9 dgn geleden$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 dgn geleden
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 dgn geleden$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 dgn geleden
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This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.