[Metaculus] Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before...interference with Taiwan?
GeopolitiekOne-OffChina3j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.8%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd10 jul 24, 22:57 UTC2 jan 30, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21870/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question resolves as Yes if, between question launch and January 1, 2030, China makes an official statement threatening nuclear use if another nation gets its military involved in the China-Taiwan situation.
- The question resolves as No otherwise.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
