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Starliner returns uncrewed with minimal problems in the next month 100%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
23
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 uur geleden
Verouderd9 aug 24, 21:51 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
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Based on this post:
- [tweet]Separate markets for each of the three clauses, plus one for all three of them being true.
- Operationalizations:
- "Starliner returns uncrewed with minimal problems": Minimal problems is somewhat subjective, but I'll interpret it as meaning there's nothing big and glaring that's reported right away.
- "the named outcome": Resolves when the mission flies, not when the contract is awarded. "with cargo" = no crew, more stuff in it than there was on the previous uncrewed demo.
- "Starliner-1": The next crewed Starliner flight, whether it uses the Starliner-1 designation or not.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
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- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Is Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out??
- Manifold Markets prijst Starliner returns uncrewed with minimal problems in the next month op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Is Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out? afgewikkeld?
- Is Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Is Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Based on this post: