Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 61.9%
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42
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd25 aug 24, 09:02 UTC1 jan 27, 06:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will be the first crewed flight of the Lanyue?
Manifold MarketsIs Eric Berger right about how the Starliner saga will play out?
Manifold MarketsWill there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves No if there is no second crewed Starliner Flight.
- Resolves Yes if Second Crewed Flight of Starliner takes Crew to ISS and brings them back on Earth safely, irrespective of delays.
- If problems arise such as Helium Leak or Thruster Malfunction, will still Resolve Yes if crew is brought home safe on Starliner.
- Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve No if there is no second crewed Starliner flight by program shutdown (not just by market close date).
- Update 2026-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator plans to extend the close date.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 62% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success? afgewikkeld?
- Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves No if there is no second crewed Starliner Flight.