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2029- 60%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
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8
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 uur geleden
Verouderd24 feb 24, 14:21 UTC31 dec 28, 15:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegels
The Lanyue is the Chinese crewed lunar lander.
- Resolves YES if a taikonaut enters (or is already inside) a Lanyue that is above the Karman Line.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will be the first crewed flight of the Lanyue??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2029- op 60% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will be the first crewed flight of the Lanyue? afgewikkeld?
- When will be the first crewed flight of the Lanyue? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will be the first crewed flight of the Lanyue? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The Lanyue is the Chinese crewed lunar lander.