Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
In-flight Raptor re-light by Q2 2025 100%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
In-flight Raptor re-light by Q2 2025 100%Voorspellers
15
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-8.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd29 okt 24, 06:43 UTC2 sep 28, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsIs Manifold better-calibrated than financial markets on questions about future asset prices?
Manifold MarketsWill Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, will I think I was right about Habryka as a counterparty / Lightcone Infrastructure as a donation target?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This question is based on the following article by Eric Berger: https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/10/spacex-has-caught-a-massive-rocket-so-whats-next/.
- Please see the article for more specifics about the scenario of each milestone.
- Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has updated the resolution criteria based on user feedback.
- The timing requirements for milestones have been clarified to use "before" rather than "by" for at least the first three items, addressing whether deadlines refer to the start or end of specified time periods.
