Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingAfter March 31 2026. 100%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd11 mrt 26, 10:28 UTC31 dec 26, 23:00 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
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Manifold MarketsIs Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?
Manifold MarketsTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- Mojtaba Khamenei was born on September 8, 1969, making him currently 56 years old.
- This market resolves based on the date of his death, if it occurs.
- Resolution will be determined by credible international news sources reporting his death, including major news agencies (Reuters, AP, BBC, etc.) or official Iranian government announcements.
- The market will resolve to whichever answer bracket corresponds to the date his death is confirmed.
- Mojtaba Khamenei was announced as Iran's new supreme leader on March 8, 2026, following the assassination of his father Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
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- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die??
- Manifold Markets prijst After March 31 2026. op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die? afgewikkeld?
- In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt In how many days will Mojtaba Khamenei die? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria