If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden

Verouderd

13 mrt 23, 05:32 UTC1 jan 27, 08:00 UTC

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Inspired by https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/i-offered-people-10000-to-take-off

If this market gets enough interest or I otherwise gain at least $20 of motivation, I may choose to do this on a future flight.
(I fly several times a month.) This market resolves if/when I do that, based on the result.
I won't make the offer to anyone for whom I have significant additional information about their masking preferences past the simple fact that they're wearing one.
(e.g. I won't ask someone who has expressed a verbal opinion to me about whether they'd accept, or is wearing a shirt with some statement about the importance of masking on it.)
I'll offer no later than halfway through the flight.

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

GeopolitiekOne-OffSociety & Culture3mnd

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Nee 80%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden

Verouderd

13 mrt 23, 05:32 UTC1 jan 27, 08:00 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gerelateerde Markten

Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.

Will I be vegan for the remainder of 2026?

Manifold Markets

What countries will Donald Trump visit in the remainder of 2026?

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Will an alleged male lover of Lindsey Graham come forward to the MSM at any time during the remainder of 2026?

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New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Kalshi

Maine lobster landings in 2026

Kalshi

Is Earth flat?

Polymarket

Regels

Inspired by https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/i-offered-people-10000-to-take-off

If this market gets enough interest or I otherwise gain at least $20 of motivation, I may choose to do this on a future flight.
(I fly several times a month.) This market resolves if/when I do that, based on the result.
I won't make the offer to anyone for whom I have significant additional information about their masking preferences past the simple fact that they're wearing one.
(e.g. I won't ask someone who has expressed a verbal opinion to me about whether they'd accept, or is wearing a shirt with some statement about the importance of masking on it.)
I'll offer no later than halfway through the flight.

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept??: Manifold Markets prijst No op 80% per 17 september 2026.
Wanneer wordt If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept? afgewikkeld?: If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Inspired by https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/i-offered-people-10000-to-take-off

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

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