JavaScript is uitgeschakeld. De hoofdnavigatie en redactionele pagina's blijven beschikbaar, maar live-marktwidgets, grafieken, zoeken en personalisatiefuncties kunnen beperkt zijn.

How long will Pope Leo XIV reign?

One-OffReligion Society & Culture28j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYC

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Less than 1 month 1%

Koploper van 7 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

16

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 21 dagen geleden

Verouderd

24 mrt 25, 10:557 mei 55, 22:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Less than 1 month1%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

He took office on 8 May 2025.

Intervals are left-closed right-open and based on calendar days in the Vatican time zone, e.g. if he dies or resigns on 7 May 2035 (regardless of the time of the day) then it resolves "Between 3 and 10 years" whereas if he dies or resigns on 8 May 2035 (regardless of the time of the day) then it resolves "Between 10 and 30 years".
So far, 9 popes reigned for less than 1 month and only 2 reigned for more than 30 years, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pope#Lengths_of_papal_reign (but note that that list uses a definition of length which is off by one day with respect to mine).

Gerelateerde Markten

Manifold Markets

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Manifold Markets

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Manifold Markets

Will Jesus return on November 25 2026

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Vatican III in 2026?

Vatican III in 2026?

What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?

What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$61,852.01-2.54%

EthereumETH$1,727.19-3.30%

SolanaSOL$77.05-5.66%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0718-3.94%

XRPXRP$1.08-4.10%

BNBBNB$563.68-2.86%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

BingX Partners with Save the Children to Support Children at Risk in Western BalkansBlockchain Reporter

Nearly 100 Catholic Leaders Oppose CLARITY Act Over Trafficking Safeguard ProvisionsThe Defiant

Regels

He took office on 8 May 2025.

Intervals are left-closed right-open and based on calendar days in the Vatican time zone, e.g. if he dies or resigns on 7 May 2035 (regardless of the time of the day) then it resolves "Between 3 and 10 years" whereas if he dies or resigns on 8 May 2035 (regardless of the time of the day) then it resolves "Between 10 and 30 years".
So far, 9 popes reigned for less than 1 month and only 2 reigned for more than 30 years, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pope#Lengths_of_papal_reign (but note that that list uses a definition of length which is off by one day with respect to mine).