France, Germany, Netherlands, or Belgium have Muslim public holiday by 2040?
One-OffReligieSamenleving en cultuur13jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 51.4%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jun 25, 14:57 UTC31 dec 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Vote rigging scandal in UK, CA, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, DK, Sweden, Finland, or Ireland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a Muslim Majority Country Lose Its Majority Before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States have a Muslim president by end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the US have a Muslim president by 2033?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If holidays can differ within the country (like by state/Bundesland in Germany) it has to be adopted by enough jurisdictions to affect at least 66% of the population.
- I'll use Wikipedia as source of truth for population counts and official, public holidays.
- If there is a holiday relevant to Christians and Muslims (no idea if this exists) it doesn't count.
