Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
No change 76.8%+1.4ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
+0.2 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd29 jul 26, 18:1030 sep 26, 23:59
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Gemini — Fed decision in September? · Fed maintains rate 66%
- Ook beschikbaar op Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in September 2026 · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 · No change 73%
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Fed decision in Sep 2026? · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Fed Decision in September? · No change 67%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — Fed Decision in September? · No change 68%
Open markten
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 36,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,1 mln.
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
- 1 (259.9%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 138,6K
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Fed decision in September??
- Manifold Markets prijst No change op 77% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Fed decision in September? afgewikkeld?
- Fed decision in September? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Fed decision in September? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- Waar wordt Fed decision in September? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Futuur, Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless.