Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 80.7%
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Verouderd2 jul 23, 22:54 UTC2 jan 40, 04:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
-"Does": the main cause must have been the AI, not external circumstance.
- -"an": the deaths must be from the same source, such as a glitch, misfire or AI attack (we won't combine unrelated disasters).
- We'll include cumulative deaths over time (such as the same glitch killing people over several months), as long as it's credible that the deaths were caused by the same AI problem.
- -"AI": must be a system (or multiple systems) that relied on artificial intelligence for its decisions.
- -"disaster": the AI must've done something that most smart people would say is malicious, reckless, or poor judgement.
- Unless the AI was correctly following orders by a human who we agree was authorized to give those orders, then that doesn't count.
