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Nee 92.9%
Voorspellers
30
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd8 sep 22, 08:10 UTC31 dec 99, 12:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegels
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness
Open markten
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt4%
- September 30-0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 59,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 97,8K
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+3.0pt15%
- Before 2027-0.4pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 29,6 mln.
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 271K
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 120K
- 24u volume
- € 1,3K
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.3pt76%
- No24%
- Totaal volume
- € 303,3K
- 24u volume
- € 1,2K
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
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- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist? afgewikkeld?
- Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2099 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness