Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?
One-OffAITechWetenschap3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 81%
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Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
5 sep 26, 03:54 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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The Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem is one of the seven Clay Millennium Prize Problems, and as of 2026, the only Millennium Prize problem to have been solved is the Poincaré conjecture.
- This market asks whether Anthropic will publicly claim that one of its AI systems has resolved it.
- Resolves YES if: before 11:59 PM ET December 31, 2026, Anthropic publicly announces — or a preprint with Anthropic-affiliated authors or Anthropic’s official endorsement presents — a claimed complete resolution of the Clay Mathematics Institute’s Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem, with Claude or another Anthropic AI system credited as the primary source of the proof.
- • Either direction counts.
- A claimed proof of global existence and smoothness, OR a claimed counterexample (finite-time blow-up from smooth, finite-energy initial data), in either the R³ or periodic setting as specified in Clay’s official problem statement.
- Both resolve the Millennium problem and both count.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 81% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem is one of the seven Clay Millennium Prize Problems, and as of 2026, the only Millennium Prize problem to have been solved is the Poincaré conjecture.