Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 70.4%
Voorspellers
33
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd19 mei 24, 21:32 UTC1 jan 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsWill the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal?
Manifold MarketsWill Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketChud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.
- The market will stay open until a media consensus is reached, and be conservative about resolution.
- It may be a long time before it resolves.
- Resolution is delegated to Manifold (the mods if there's no newer system) in the event if it is disputed or not obvious.
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 8,6K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 503,3K
- 24u volume
- € 7,6K
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 353,2K
- 24u volume
- € 6K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 70% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) afgewikkeld?
- Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Did Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve YES if Letby intentionally murdered any infants and NO if not.