Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 70.8%
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd9 sep 24, 07:51 UTC27 aug 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsDid Lucy Letby murder any infants? (media consensus)
Manifold MarketsWill Lucy Letby be exonerated?
Manifold MarketsComey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?
KalshiTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegels
Letby's new legal team have said they will make an application to the CCRC asking for them to refer her case base to the Court of Appeal.
- This market will resolve YES if:
- Her legal teams makes a submission to the CCRC, and the CCRC refers the case back to the Court of Appeal
- It will resolve NO if:
- Her legal team has made no submission to the CCRC before 1st September 2026
- Her legal team makes a submission to the CCRC, and they decline to refer it to the Court of Appeal
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 8,6K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 503,3K
- 24u volume
- € 7,6K
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 353,2K
- 24u volume
- € 6K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal? afgewikkeld?
- Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal? wordt naar verwachting op 27 augustus 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Letby's new legal team have said they will make an application to the CCRC asking for them to refer her case base to the Court of Appeal.