Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingSevere deflation: CPI falls by more than 10%/year 23.5%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd27 jun 26, 02:51 UTC27 jun 31, 02:46 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
Assume that by Dec. 31, 2035, an AI system exists that is generally considered superintelligent relative to humans across economically relevant cognitive tasks, and assume human civilization and US government statistics still exist.
- This market resolves based on the annualized change in US CPI-U All Items over the five calendar years after the first year in which ASI exists.
- For example, if ASI first exists in 2031, resolve using CPI from Jan. 2032 to Jan. 2037.
- Use BLS CPI-U All Items, or the closest successor series if CPI-U is discontinued.
