Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2030-12-31 49.7%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jun 26, 02:53 UTC31 dec 30, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will land on the Moon, before one lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill the ExoMars rover launch within its current 2028 baseline window?
Manifold MarketsWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
KalshiTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegels
Local time at the launch site of the second launch.
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor By when will two Starships launch within 24h??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2030-12-31 op 50% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt By when will two Starships launch within 24h? afgewikkeld?
- By when will two Starships launch within 24h? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt By when will two Starships launch within 24h? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Local time at the launch site of the second launch.