Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 87.1%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 34,4
Liquiditeit
€ 2,1K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+0.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
31 dec 25, 18:19 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
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PolymarketWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
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KalshiRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
- The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
- If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst No op 87% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.