100kt meteor strike in 2026?

0.5% (24u)TechOne-OffSpace Weather5mnd

PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Ja 8%

Marktkwaliteit

40 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 2,3K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

5.0% / 11.0%

Spread

120.0%

Brede spread

7d wijziging

+1.7%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden

2 jan 26, 20:4031 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

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Gekozen uitkomst

Yes8%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 100 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.

Volumetrend

5 jul16d aan data26 jul

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Regels

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

0.5% (24u)TechOne-OffSpace Weather5mnd

PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Ja 8%

Marktkwaliteit

40 / 100

Lage kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 2,3K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

5.0% / 11.0%

Spread

120.0%

Brede spread

7d wijziging

+1.7%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden

2 jan 26, 20:4031 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes8%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.

Volumetrend

5 jul16d aan data26 jul

Gerelateerd Nieuws

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FILE Price Prediction: Bears Hold the Chart, But Whales Are Loading — $0.72 Is the LineBlockchain.News

Regels

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/.
The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column.
If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S.