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Will humans set foot on the Moon again before an unmanned SpaceX Starship lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsBy when will two Starships launch within 24h?
Manifold MarketsNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
Manifold MarketsTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
PolymarketWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
KalshiRegels
By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Launch counting starts from IFT-1 (integrated flight tests, excluding ship-only hops).
- The landing on the Moon does not need to be crewed; an uncrewed demo or cargo landing will qualify.