Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling>= 35 80.2%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd30 jun 26, 14:24 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Elon Musk lands on the moon anytime through 2029
Manifold MarketsBy when will two Starships launch within 24h?
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Manifold MarketsNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWho lands on the Moon next?
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PolymarketRegels
By date of launches and landing, not the flight number that does the landing, so inclusive of refueling flights.
- Update 2026-08-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Launch counting starts from IFT-1 (integrated flight tests, excluding ship-only hops).
- The landing on the Moon does not need to be crewed; an uncrewed demo or cargo landing will qualify.