Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingUS 49.2%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
206
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-0.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd19 aug 25, 17:17 UTC1 jan 35, 18:17 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
NASA lands on the moon?
KalshiHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk lands on the moon anytime through 2029
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsWill China land humans on the Moon before the US returns astronauts to the lunar surface?
Manifold MarketsWill people fly on moon before 2040?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a Chinese citizen, resolves "China"
- If the next person to successfully land on the moon is a US citizen, resolves "US"
- If multiple people successfully land on the moon at the same time and they have different citizenship, resolves proportionally to those citizenships:
- 1) 1 US citizen and 1 Chinese citizen would resolve the market 50% China, 50% US, 0% everything else.
- 2) 1 dual-citizen of US and Canada, and 2 US citizens, would resolve the market 5/6 US, 1/6 Canada, and 0% for everything else)
- This market will be extended until it can be resolved.
