Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2060 75%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
35
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd9 dec 23, 10:29 UTC1 jan 60, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will development of biotechnology and genetic engineering render term "transgender" useless?
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Manifold MarketsWill anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?
Manifold MarketsUS Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)
PolymarketWill Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Each date resolves YES if Malaria has been declared eradicated by the WHO (or an equivalent declaration by an appropriate organization of similar status if N/A) before Jan 1st of that year.
- With regards to ambiguity of resolution my intent with this market is: "the time at which there has been a period of no recent Malaria deaths and a reasonable expectation of no further deaths in future, as declared by an authoritative organisation" and I will seek the most objective way of defining that.
- The WHO's declaration of Smallpox eradication in 1980 would be analogous.
