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Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
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Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd23 dec 24, 16:30 UTC11 jan 36, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
Manifold MarketsAny American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
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Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Polymarket#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves yes based on whether leading news networks refer to what happened as a nationalization or if that language is used by the government.
- Also resolves yes if the US government creates a project which becomes the leading AI lab in the country (at the time when it becomes the leading AI lab).
- Does not resolve yes if the relationship between the government and labs is only similar to that between the government and military contractors.