Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling[2.0, 2.25)% 34.8%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd19 apr 26, 13:31 UTC30 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
What will be the average ECB deposit rate in the 3rd quarter of 2026? Intervals are left-inclusive.
- Intervals are pre-selected based on markets that at the time of creation predict a tendency to rise rates rather than lower them.
- Specifically refers to the deposit rate with this as the primary source: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
- Resolution: If the rate changes within the quarter I will calculate the average rate by number of days from the official data.
Open markten
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 91 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 569,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 359,2K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 79,7K
- 24u volume
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 18,3K
- 24u volume
- € 7,3K
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3??
- Manifold Markets prijst [2.0, 2.25)% op 35% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3? afgewikkeld?
- Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Average ECB Rate in 2026Q3? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: What will be the average ECB deposit rate in the 3rd quarter of 2026? Intervals are left-inclusive.