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Gegevens van 25 aug 2026, 12:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 87.5%
Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 20 minuten geleden
25 aug 26, 12:0231 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor CoinRithm-referentie is 13%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 1 procentpunt uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie 13% · 2 platforms · 1 pt spreiding tussen venues
Open markten
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+3.0pt87.1%
- Yes-3.0pt12.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 53,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-6.2pt70%
- October 31-9.5pt50%
- September 30-13.0pt25%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25100%
- August 31+1.4pt97%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.8%
- New People (NL)-1.1pt19.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt5%
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-5.0pt63%
- December-7.0pt46%
- September 30,-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt17%
- October 3111%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
- Limitless prijst No op 88% per 28 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Limitless wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Waar wordt Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Manifold Markets, Polymarket.