LimitlessBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 82.5%
Nee 82.5%Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
25 aug 26, 12:02 UTC31 dec 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.