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Gegevens van 18 sep 2026, 00:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 100%
Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendBied / Laat
16.0% / 25.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
16 sep 26, 14:45 UTC21 okt 26, 05:55 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
If United States Core Inflation Rate YoY is above United Kingdom Core Inflation Rate YoY for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Trading Economics - US Core Inflation RateTrading Economics - UK Core Inflation Rate
- Only the first non-preliminary value reported for each measure will be used.
- The values will be compared as published in percent.
- A tie resolves No, and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Open markten
InflationKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 265,6K
- 24u volume
- € 76,3K
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 157,7K
- 24u volume
- € 36,4K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-4.5pt61.4%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.5pt18.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+4.4pt17.8%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+4.0pt83.2%
- No-4.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 33,1K
- 24u volume
- € 31,4K
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-0.5pt41%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+4.5pt24%
- Hike–Hike–Hike-5.0pt20%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI core in October
- September Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- September Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI core in September
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in September??
- Kalshi prijst No op 100% per 18 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in September? afgewikkeld?
- Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in September? wordt naar verwachting op 21 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in September? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If United States Core Inflation Rate YoY is above United Kingdom Core Inflation Rate YoY for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.