KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Exactly 3.85% 36.6%-14.0ptKoploper van 7 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
37 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 183,6
Liquiditeit
€ 1,6K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
18 sep 26, 12:45 UTC21 sep 26, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 18, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.83%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.84%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is exactly 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 459,6K
- 24u volume
- € 8,6K
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%-9.5pt83%
- 5.45%-0.5pt74%
- 5.50%-5.0pt56%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Below 5.20%61%
- Below 5.15%+8.0pt56%
- Below 5.10%-2.0pt43%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-0.5pt19%
- Below 5.21%-1.0pt13%
- Below 5.12%+1.1pt4%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- 5.3% or above99%
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,1K
- 24u volume
- € 1,8K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- 4.75% or above-1.0pt73%
- 5% or above+6.0pt61%
- 5.1% or above+9.0pt58%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Jan 1, 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 21, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor SOFR for September 18, 2026?
- Kalshi prijst Exactly 3.85% op 37% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt SOFR for September 18, 2026 afgewikkeld?
- SOFR for September 18, 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 21 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt SOFR for September 18, 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 18, 2026 is at most 3.82%, then the market resolves to Yes.