KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 3.00% 99%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 3,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
9.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
25 jun 26, 21:00 UTC4 jan 27, 12:55 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Polymarket2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRegels
If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 282,7K
- 24u volume
- € 12,2K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1K
- 24u volume
- € 3,1K
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3K
- 24u volume
- € 2,3K
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor SOFR at end of Q4 2026?
- Kalshi prijst Above 3.00% op 99% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt SOFR at end of Q4 2026 afgewikkeld?
- SOFR at end of Q4 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 4 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt SOFR at end of Q4 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.